Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000689 0.000782 0.000880 0.000991 0.001113 0.001242 0.001390
2025-11-23 0.000527 0.000652 0.000793 0.000963 0.001161 0.001384 0.001651
2025-11-30 0.000447 0.000587 0.000752 0.000959 0.001210 0.001501 0.001863
2025-12-07 0.000387 0.000536 0.000719 0.000957 0.001254 0.001609 0.002062
2025-12-14 0.000337 0.000489 0.000684 0.000944 0.001280 0.001691 0.002228
2025-12-21 0.000293 0.000447 0.000649 0.000928 0.001297 0.001759 0.002375
2025-12-28 0.000272 0.000431 0.000646 0.000952 0.001363 0.001890 0.002602
2026-01-04 0.000250 0.000412 0.000637 0.000965 0.001416 0.002002 0.002808
2026-01-11 0.000224 0.000385 0.000615 0.000957 0.001438 0.002074 0.002962
2026-01-18 0.000201 0.000360 0.000593 0.000948 0.001457 0.002141 0.003109
2026-01-25 0.000186 0.000345 0.000585 0.000957 0.001499 0.002240 0.003301
2026-02-01 0.000171 0.000328 0.000572 0.000958 0.001530 0.002323 0.003472
2026-02-08 0.000149 0.000300 0.000540 0.000929 0.001518 0.002346 0.003564
2026-02-15 0.000132 0.000276 0.000514 0.000907 0.001514 0.002380 0.003671
2026-02-22 0.000120 0.000261 0.000499 0.000903 0.001535 0.002450 0.003827
2026-03-01 0.000109 0.000248 0.000487 0.000901 0.001559 0.002523 0.003990
2026-03-08 0.000098 0.000232 0.000470 0.000889 0.001567 0.002573 0.004121
2026-03-15 0.000088 0.000216 0.000451 0.000874 0.001568 0.002612 0.004235
2026-03-22 0.000084 0.000214 0.000455 0.000896 0.001629 0.002741 0.004485
2026-03-29 0.000079 0.000208 0.000453 0.000908 0.001675 0.002849 0.004704
2026-04-05 0.000072 0.000197 0.000441 0.000901 0.001688 0.002907 0.004849
2026-04-12 0.000066 0.000186 0.000428 0.000893 0.001698 0.002960 0.004987
2026-04-19 0.000061 0.000180 0.000424 0.000901 0.001736 0.003056 0.005194